Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 2-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.