SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Banbury United win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Banbury United |
63.17% ( -0.01) | 20.9% ( 0.04) | 15.93% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.23) | 45.19% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.22) | 67.53% ( 0.23) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.08) | 13.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.14% ( -0.15) | 40.86% ( 0.16) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% ( -0.18) | 41.31% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% ( -0.16) | 77.83% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 63.17% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 15.93% |
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