SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
61.12% ( -0.16) | 21.8% ( 0.07) | 17.08% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.01% ( -0.11) | 46.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.11) | 69.23% ( 0.1) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( -0.09) | 14.88% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.17) | 43.23% ( 0.17) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.06% ( 0.05) | 40.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.5% ( 0.04) | 77.5% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.08% |
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