SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Bradford City |
43.98% ( 0.08) | 25.17% ( 0.03) | 30.85% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( -0.18) | 47.81% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( -0.16) | 70% ( 0.16) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.04) | 21.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.09% ( -0.05) | 54.91% ( 0.06) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -0.16) | 29.01% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( -0.2) | 64.91% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.85% |
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