SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Marseille |
32.46% ( -1.01) | 25.84% ( 0.08) | 41.7% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.61) | 50.11% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.54) | 72.08% ( 0.54) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.94) | 29.08% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -1.18) | 65% ( 1.18) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( 0.2) | 23.82% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( 0.28) | 57.99% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.46% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.7% |
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