Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match.
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