Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 78.31%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for FK Vardar had a probability of 7.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a FK Vardar win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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