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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
ML

Swansea
0 - 1
Millwall


Abdulai (90')
Tanganga (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Norre (72')
Cooper (65'), McNamara (90')
Yates (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall

Both sides will head into the final day with plenty of confidence thanks to their recent improvements, and the desire to end on a win and wrap up 13th spot, and we cannot quite pick a winner as a result, instead opting for a low-scoring draw between two in-form teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
52.26% (-1.018 -1.02) 25.2% (0.316 0.32) 22.53% (0.7 0.7)
Both teams to score 48.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.519 -0.52)53.66% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.44 -0.44)75.15% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.62 -0.62)20.54% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.988 -0.99)53.04% (0.986 0.99)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14% (0.40000000000001 0.4)38.86% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41% (0.375 0.38)75.59% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 52.26%
    Millwall 22.53%
    Draw 25.2%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.232 0.23)
1-2 @ 5.64% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 22.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Stoke
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Plymouth
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leicester
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Millwall
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship


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