Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vis Pesaro had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Vis Pesaro win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.04) 
