Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.