Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 71.57%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Versailles had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.49%) and 0-3 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Versailles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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