Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.
-0.01) 
0.07) 
