Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 82.87%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.14%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
82.87% ( 0.94)	11.14% ( -0.25)	5.99% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

-3.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.65% (

-2.02)

27.35% (

2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.07% (

-2.58)

47.93% (

2.59)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.2% (

-0.22)

4.81% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.61% (

-0.67)

19.39% (

0.67)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.11% (

-3.7)

47.89% (

3.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.85% (

-2.87)

83.15% (

2.87)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 82.86%

Werder Bremen 5.99%

Draw 11.14%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Werder Bremen
3-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.98) 4-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.74) 4-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.39) 6-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.34) 6-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.23) 7-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.26% Total : 82.86%	1-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.82% Total : 11.14%	1-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.99%