SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 59.52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
59.52% ( 3.88) | 20.07% ( -1.46) | 20.4% ( -2.43) |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.28% ( 3.78) | 33.71% ( -3.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.46% ( 4.18) | 55.54% ( -4.18) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( 2.31) | 11.14% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.4% ( 4.84) | 35.59% ( -4.84) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 0.04) | 29.55% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 0.05) | 65.57% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.76)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.55)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.61)4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.5)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.37)5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.39)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.32)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.24)4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.01% Total : 59.52% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.92) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.69)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.55) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.83)0-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.01% Total : 20.41% |
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