Augsburg are still holding on to hopes of qualifying for Europe next season but need to continue winning games in order to keep that dream alive. While Bremen pulled off a morale-boosting win against Stuttgart last time out, their away form has been very poor of late, and we feel they will struggle to take anything against an FCA outfit that are unbeaten in their last five home matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 59.52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
3.88) 
-1.46) 
