Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Whitby Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Whitby Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.