Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Solihull Moors in this match.
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