Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for York City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.02) 
