SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
52.61% ( -0.1) | 22% ( -0.01) | 25.39% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.02% ( 0.11) | 36.98% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( 0.12) | 59.16% ( -0.12) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( 0) | 14.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( 0.02) | 41.96% ( -0.02) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.13) | 27.29% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.27% ( 0.17) | 62.72% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 25.39% |
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