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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2021 at 10pm UK
Stade Pierre Aliker de Dillon
HN

Martinique
1 - 2
Haiti

Fortune (53')
Thimon (19'), Babin (72'), Igor Grelet (90+1')
Antoine Cretinoir (59'), Burner (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Antoine (3'), Ade (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Martinique win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Martinique win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Haiti win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
MartiniqueDrawHaiti
45.99%23.59%30.41%
Both teams to score 60.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.24%
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96%18.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.07%48.93%
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19%60.8%
Score Analysis
    Martinique 45.99%
    Haiti 30.41%
    Draw 23.59%
MartiniqueDrawHaiti
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.26%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.99%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.66%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.59%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-1 @ 6.31%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 30.41%

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