Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Haiti win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.