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CN
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg
Jun 16, 2021 at 2.05am UK
SeatGeek Stadium
HN

Canada
3 - 0
Haiti

Duverger (46' og.), Larin (74'), Hoilett (89')
Larin (8'), Hoilett (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alceus (42'), Nazon (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Haiti had a probability of 16.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Haiti win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawHaiti
60.91%22.81%16.28%
Both teams to score 45.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93%74.07%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2%16.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23%46.77%
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.81%45.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.92%81.08%
Score Analysis
    Canada 60.9%
    Haiti 16.28%
    Draw 22.81%
CanadaDrawHaiti
1-0 @ 13.54%
2-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 5.71%
4-0 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.27%
5-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 60.9%
1-1 @ 10.75%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 6.03%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 1.13%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 16.28%

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