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CN
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
BMO Field

Canada
4 - 1
Martinique

Larin (16'), Osorio (20'), Eustaquio (26'), Corbeanu (89')
Eustaquio (8'), Kaye (43'), Vitoria (49'), Fraser (80'), Cavallini (84'), Johnston (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Riviere (10')
Burner (6'), Julien Herelle (51'), Vitulin (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 89.72%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 2.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 4-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
CanadaDrawMartinique
89.72%7.42%2.86%
Both teams to score 39.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.32%24.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.47%44.53%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.7%3.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.44%14.56%
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.25%58.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10%90%
Score Analysis
    Canada 89.7%
    Martinique 2.86%
    Draw 7.42%
CanadaDrawMartinique
3-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 11.29%
4-0 @ 10.97%
5-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 6.84%
1-0 @ 6.62%
2-1 @ 6.01%
4-1 @ 5.84%
6-0 @ 4.27%
5-1 @ 3.99%
6-1 @ 2.27%
7-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.55%
7-1 @ 1.11%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 89.7%
1-1 @ 3.52%
0-0 @ 1.94%
2-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 7.42%
0-1 @ 1.03%
1-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 2.86%

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