Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 89.72%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 2.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 4-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.