Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for USA in this match.
