USA
1 - 0
Canada

Moore (1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Canada
46.47%	24.12%	29.41%

Both teams to score 58.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13%

43.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.75%

66.25%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97%

19.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39%

50.61%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72%

28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35%

63.65%

Score Analysis

USA 46.47%

Canada 29.41%

Draw 24.12%

USA	Draw	Canada
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.47%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.41%