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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 18, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
CN

USA
1 - 0
Canada

Moore (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Canada had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawCanada
46.47%24.12%29.41%
Both teams to score 58.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97%19.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39%50.61%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72%28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35%63.65%
Score Analysis
    USA 46.47%
    Canada 29.41%
    Draw 24.12%
USADrawCanada
2-1 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 7.16%
0-1 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.41%

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