Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 80.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Apollon Smyrni had a probability of 6.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 1-0 (10.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.3%), while for an Apollon Smyrni win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.