Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEL Larissa win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEL Larissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.