Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 68.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.88%) and 0-3 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.75%), while for an AEL Larissa win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.