SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 66.55%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.72%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 66.55% | 20.98% | 12.47% |
| Both teams to score 41.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.64% | 52.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.95% | 74.05% |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% | 14.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.7% | 43.3% |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.78% | 85.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 13.72% 2-1 @ 9.29% 3-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.89% 4-0 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 66.54% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.98% | 0-1 @ 5.13% 1-2 @ 3.3% 0-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.3% Total : 12.47% |
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