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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Karaiskakis Stadium
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Olympiacos
4 - 2
PSV

Bouchalakis (9'), M'Vila (37'), El-Arabi (45+2'), Masouras (83')
Reabciuk (57'), Ba (63'), Bruma (63')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Zahavi (14', 40')
Sangare (32'), Rosario (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawPSV Eindhoven
46.99%23.42%29.58%
Both teams to score 60.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.47%40.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.09%62.9%
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.97%48.03%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.3%
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 46.99%
    PSV Eindhoven 29.58%
    Draw 23.41%
OlympiacosDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.63%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 46.99%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.17%
0-1 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 29.58%

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