Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
