Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 49.84%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
