Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Apollon Smirnis in this match.