Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 35.4%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.67%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (13.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.