Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
