Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smyrni win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Ionikos had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smyrni win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Ionikos win was 0-1 (13.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.
