Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Volos win with a probability of 43.22%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Volos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.58%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Volos would win this match.