Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
