Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.
Result | ||
Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
26.12% | 27.96% | 45.92% |
Both teams to score 44.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.21% | 60.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.16% | 80.84% |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% | 39.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.76% | 76.24% |
AEK Athens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.49% | 26.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.3% | 61.7% |
Score Analysis |
Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | AEK Athens |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 5.99% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.43% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 13.92% 0-2 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-3 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.36% 1-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.92% Total : 45.92% |
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