Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AEK Athens in this match.
