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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 5
Jul 1, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
A

Panathinaikos
2 - 0
Aris

Kourbelis (41'), Kolovetsios (88')
Kourbelis (42'), Ayoub (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sasha (30'), Mancini (42'), Gama (90+2')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Panathinaikos and Aris Thessaloniki.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.

Result
PanathinaikosDrawAris Thessaloniki
51.01%26.13%22.87%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.25%56.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3%77.7%
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67%22.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19%55.81%
Aris Thessaloniki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71%40.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.91%
Score Analysis
    Panathinaikos 51%
    Aris Thessaloniki 22.87%
    Draw 26.12%
PanathinaikosDrawAris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 13.48%
2-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 5.05%
3-1 @ 4.59%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 9%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.18%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.72%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 22.87%


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