SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.27%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Asteras Tripolis in this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Lamia |
63.82% ( -0.12) | 23.17% ( 0.28) | 13.01% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 37.63% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( -1.18) | 59.05% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( -0.92) | 79.51% ( 0.92) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% ( -0.47) | 18.18% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.84% ( -0.82) | 49.17% ( 0.82) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.99% ( -0.98) | 54.02% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.72% ( -0.61) | 87.29% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Lamia |
| 1-0 @ 16.74% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.82% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 13.01% |
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