SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
46.81% ( 0.13) | 27.18% ( 0.15) | 26.01% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 46.41% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.79% ( -0.69) | 58.21% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.14% ( -0.55) | 78.85% ( 0.54) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( -0.25) | 24.89% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.49% ( -0.34) | 59.5% ( 0.34) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.79% ( -0.62) | 38.21% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.03% ( -0.61) | 74.97% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.01% |
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