SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Lamia win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lamia | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
23.43% ( 1.47) | 27.43% ( 1.06) | 49.13% ( -2.54) |
| Both teams to score 43.54% ( -1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% ( -2.36) | 60.74% ( 2.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.2% ( -1.81) | 80.8% ( 1.81) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.99% ( 0.11) | 42.01% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% ( 0.09) | 78.44% ( -0.1) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -2.19) | 24.91% ( 2.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( -3.13) | 59.53% ( 3.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lamia | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.43% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 14.54% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 10.1% ( -0.4)1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.17% Total : 49.12% |
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