SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.92%), while for a Lamia win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Asteras Tripolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Lamia |
57.42% ( -0.35) | 26.37% ( 0.01) | 16.21% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 36.76% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.74% ( 0.35) | 64.25% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% ( 0.25) | 83.36% ( -0.25) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( 0) | 22.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( 0.01) | 56.45% ( -0.01) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.68) | 52.41% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.73% ( 0.44) | 86.27% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | Lamia |
| 1-0 @ 17.65% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.41% | 0-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.16) 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.33% Total : 16.21% |
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