Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.19%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olympiacos in this match.
