Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.01%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.07%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.