Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
