SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 4.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.9%) and 1-0 (12.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
83.44% ( 0.03) | 12.13% ( -0.02) | 4.43% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 33.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.65% ( 0.05) | 41.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.26% ( 0.05) | 63.74% ( -0.06) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.54% ( 0.02) | 7.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.19% ( 0.05) | 26.81% ( -0.05) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0) | 63.93% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.47% ( 0) | 92.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 2-0 @ 16.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.04% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 83.43% | 1-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.13% | 0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 4.43% |
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