Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Asteras Tripolis	Draw	PAOK
27.25% ( 0.14)	29.8% ( 0.11)	42.95% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 40.58% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.04% (

-0.26)

65.96% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.44% (

-0.18)

84.56% (

0.18)

Asteras Tripolis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.48% (

-0.03)

41.51% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.99% (

-0.02)

78.01% (

0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0.27)

30.6% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

-0.32)

66.84% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Asteras Tripolis 27.24%

PAOK 42.94%

Draw 29.79%

Asteras Tripolis	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.21% Total : 27.24%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.79%	0-1 @ 15.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.94%