Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Atromitos had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Atromitos win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
