Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atromitos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atromitos would win this match.
