SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kallithea win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kallithea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kallithea | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
46.74% ( 0.45) | 26.73% ( -0.09) | 26.53% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.7% ( 0.12) | 56.3% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.67% ( 0.1) | 77.33% ( -0.1) |
| Kallithea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( 0.27) | 24.08% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( 0.38) | 58.37% ( -0.38) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( -0.24) | 36.72% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( -0.24) | 73.51% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kallithea | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 26.53% |
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