SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panetolikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
45.65% ( 0.23) | 27.77% ( -0.06) | 26.59% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.25% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.11) | 59.91% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.83% ( 0.09) | 80.17% ( -0.08) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.17) | 26.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( 0.22) | 61.34% ( -0.22) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% ( -0.08) | 38.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.6% ( -0.08) | 75.4% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panetolikos | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 26.59% |
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